21 Jul 2025
This response highlights critical concerns regarding the Department for Communities' (DfC) budget proposals for 2025/26 and the accompanying equality impact assessment (EQIA), particularly concerning social housing provision in Northern Ireland. We acknowledge the department's efforts in conducting the EQIA and the challenging financial context. However, the proposed capital and resource allocations remain insufficient to address the escalating housing crisis.
The capital departmental expenditure limit allocation for 2025/26 raises significant concerns. While initial indications from the former finance minister suggested that the £100 million reinvestment and reform initiative (RRI) funding would be additional to DfC's £270 million capital allocation for social housing, the EQIA confirms that this funding is included within the £270 million. Furthermore, this £100 million is earmarked for contractual new-build housing commitments from previous years, rather than funding new homes from 2025/26. This significantly reduces the capital available for new social homes.
Consequently, we anticipate only around 1,000 new social home starts in the 2025/26 financial year, which is significantly below the identified annual need of more than 2,200. We acknowledge and welcome the recent £9 million allocation of additional capital for new social homes through the June monitoring round, nevertheless a substantial funding gap remains. The shortfall will severely impact vulnerable people and exacerbate the housing crisis. This level of new starts will also prevent delivery against development targets set out in the Programme for Government and the Housing Supply Strategy.
The proposed DfC budget is likely to exacerbate ongoing homelessness challenges. The number of households with homelessness status has reached high levels, standing at 31,719 on 31 March 2025. Similarly, the number of children living in temporary accommodation has increased to 4,730 by 9 May 2025, from an increase of 116 per cent in households in temporary accommodation since January 2020. This indicates a system under pressure, and continued underinvestment in homelessness services will have far-reaching consequences. From May 2025, 1,438 households living in temporary accommodation have been there over two years, with 500 of them living in temporary accommodation for over five years (7.7 per cent). This reinforces the need for further funding.
Furthermore, the vital Supporting People (SP) programme faces significant challenges. While a welcome uplift in funding has been provided, it does not adequately account for inflationary costs, nor for the financial pressures arising from changes to Employers National Insurance Contributions and the rising National Living Wage. The estimated costs of these changes for SP-funded organisations, particularly those delivering homelessness services, are substantial, and the allocated increase will not cover these increased operational expenses. This financial strain threatens the viability of essential support services, which are critical for many vulnerable individuals across Section 75 equality categories.
The lack of investment in social housing new builds contributes to a wider problem of insufficient housing supply. The growing gap between supply and demand inevitably drives up prices, making affordable housing difficult to access. A severe reduction in social housing options will likely increase reliance on more expensive, non-traditional temporary accommodation like hotels and bed and breakfasts, which not only negatively impacts wellbeing but also places a greater burden on public finances compared to the cost-effectiveness of social housing.
The reduction in social housing construction will also detrimentally affect the local construction sector, potentially impacting skilled workers and the supply chain. The reduction in output, estimated by the Northern Ireland Housing Executive (NIHE) at 988 fewer homes than planned over a two-year period, represents a significant “shock” to the sector with economic consequences for Northern Ireland. Furthermore, these allocations are unlikely to provide the necessary funds to put Northern Ireland's housing stock on a meaningful path towards decarbonisation, hindering long-term environmental and energy efficiency goals.
We urge the Northern Ireland Executive to reconsider its budget allocation for social housing and prioritise allocating additional funding, especially from the additional £220 million of capital funding expected over the next four years from the UK government's Spending Review. The securing of multi-year budgets from the Spending Review is a positive step, enabling a long-term strategic approach to housing. Discussions on a full fiscal framework, including NIHE's borrowing powers, are also crucial for housing investment.
The EQIA acknowledges the need for additional support in housing supply for specific groups. However, NIHE’s response further highlights that a shortfall in funding for social housing will adversely impact many Section 75 categories. This includes older people, disabled people (especially those requiring wheelchair accommodation or ground floor access), and homeless people, many of whom have additional complex needs. The data as of 31 March 2025, shows 49,083 households on the social housing waiting list, with 37,635 in housing stress. Of the 6,054 allocations made in 2024/25, 171 required wheelchair accommodation, 1,970 needed ground floor accommodation, and 1,080 were over the age of 60. A sustained supply of social housing is required over the long term to meet new household formation and migration needs, and a shortfall could contribute to lengthening waiting lists and widening differentials between groups.
Additionally, the Housing for All (shared housing) programme, despite its proven positive impact on enabling communities to live together, has no specific funding earmarked within the Social Housing Development Programme for 2025/26, leaving this programme at risk. Also, there is no capital funding allocation for scheduled improvements to Irish Travellers' sites, which impacts NIHE’s ability to provide culturally sensitive accommodation and promote equality for this ethnic minority group.
The EQIA acknowledges the negative impact of reduced capital funding on social housing waiting lists. We re-emphasise the potential for this impact to be disproportionate, particularly for:
To effectively reduce adverse impacts, we urge the department to:
The development of a five-year departmental plan is a positive step towards strategic planning. To shape future service delivery effectively with limited resources, we believe the department should:
The departmental EQIA is a positive process, but a strategic assessment of the entire budget is crucial. Section 75 of the NI Act 1998 demands this broader analysis, especially considering potential cumulative impacts across different sectors. Departmental cuts, on their own, may not reveal how disadvantaged groups are disproportionately affected. A comprehensive strategic EQIA, as advocated by the Equality Commission for Northern Ireland, would provide a holistic view and allow informed mitigation of potential inequalities.
For more information on the impact assessment and the budget visit the DfC's website.
For more details on our response please contact Justin Cartwright, national director for CIH Northern Ireland, justin.cartwright@cih.org